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Michael A. Bailey

 

Published and forthcoming work

Bailey and Maltzman. 2011. The Constrained Court: Law, Politics and the Decisions Justices Make. Princeton University Press.

For chapter summaries, see here.

 

 

 

Cover for 
Real Stats
Bailey, Michael A. 2015. Real Stats: Using Econometrics for Political Science and Public Policy. Oxford University Press.

 

 

 

 

Articles

The Supreme Court: Legal Model, Attitudinal Model and Separation of Powers

o   Appointing Extremists. with Matthew Spitzer.  American Law and Economic Review. (November 2017).

o   Is Today's Court the Most Conservative in Sixty Years?  Challenges and Opportunities in Measuring Judicial Preferences.  Journal of Politics, 75, 3 (July 2013): 821-834.

o    While there's a Breath in My Body: The Systemic Effects of Politically Motivated Retirement from the Supreme Court. with Albert Yoon. Journal of Theoretical Politics, 23, 3 (July 2011): 293-316.  (ungated version here).

o    Does Legal Doctrine Matter? Unpacking Law and Policy Preferences on the U.S. Supreme Court. with Forrest Maltzman.  American Political Science Review 102, 3 (August 2008): 369- 384.

o    Comparable Preference Estimates across Time and Institutions for the Court, Congress and Presidency. American Journal of Political Science 51, 3 (July 2007): 433-448.

o    Signals from the Tenth Justice: The Role of the Solicitor General at the Merits Stage. with Brian Kamoie and Forrest Maltzman.  American Journal of Political Science. 49, 1 (January 2005): 72-85.

o    Comparing Presidents, Senators, and Publications Justices: Inter-institutional Preference Estimation. with Kelly Chang.  Journal of Law, Economics and Organization 17, 2 (October 2001): 477-506.

Interstate Competition/Welfare and the Race to the Bottom

o   Constraining Federalism: Formalizing Expectations about Redistributive Policies in Decentralized Systems. Publius (Spring 2007).

o  Welfare Migration and the Multifaceted Decision to Move. American Political Science Review.  99, 1 (February 2005): 125 – 135.

o  A Wider Race?  Interstate Competition Across Health and Welfare Programs. with Mark Rom. Journal of Politics 66, 2 (May, 2004): 326 - 347.

o   State Competition and Higher Education:  A Race to the Top?  with Mark Rom and Matt Taylor. Economics of Governance. 5, 1 (April, 2004): 53-75.

 

Congress and Trade Politics

o   The Politics of the Difficult: The Role of Public Opinion in Early Cold War Aid and Trade Policies. Legislative Studies Quarterly.  28, 2 (May, 2003): 147-178.

o   Quiet Influence: The Representation of Diffuse Interests on Postwar Trade Policy. Legislative Studies Quarterly 26 (February, 2001): 1- 36.

o   Heterogeneity and Representation: The Senate and Free Trade. with David Brady.  American Journal of Political Science, 42, 2 (April 1998): 524-544.

o   The Institutional Roots of American Trade Policy: The Origin and Effects of the Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act. with Judith Goldstein and Barry Weingast. World Politics 49, 3 (April 1997): 309-338.
 

Campaign Finance

o   The (Sometimes Surprising) Consequences of Societally Unrepresentative Contributors on Legislative Responsiveness. Business and Politics 6, 3 (2004).

o  The Two Sides of Money in Politics: A Synthesis and Framework. Election Law Journal 3, 4 (Fall 2004): 653-669.

 

Methodology: Ideal Point Estimation

o   Ideal Point Estimation with a Small Number of Votes: A Random Effects Approach. Political Analysis 9, 3 (Summer, 2001): 192-210.

 

Presidential Persuasion

o   A Two-Way Street on Iraq: On the Interaction of Citizen Policy Preferences and Presidential Approval. with Clyde Wilcox. American Politics Research, forthcoming.

o   Presidential Persuasion on Social Issues: A Two Way Street? with Lee Sigelman and Clyde WilcoxPolitical Research Quarterly. 56, 1 (March, 2003): 49-59.

 

Electoral Balancing and Midterm Losses

 

o    Balancing in the States, 1978-2009. with Elliott Fullmer. State Politics and Policy Quarterly 11, 2 (June 2011): 149 – 167.

 

Tea Party

o   Tea Party Influence: A Story of Activists and Elites. with Jon Mummolo and Hans Noel.  American Politics Research 40, 5 (September 2012): 769 – 804.

 

Grading

o   Grades and Incentives: Assessing Competing Grade Point Average Measures and Postgraduate Outcomes. with Jeffrey S. Rosenthal and Albert H. Yoon.  Studies in Higher Education (2014).

 

Edited Book

Campaigns and Elections: Contemporary Case Studieswith Ron Faucheux, Paul Herrnson and Clyde Wilcox.  Congressional Quarterly Press, 1999.
 

Other Publications

o   "Money and the Possibility of Democratic Governance in Stephen Wayne, ed. Is This Any Way to Run a Democratic Government? Georgetown University Press.  2004.

o   The Other Side of the Coin: The Hidden Benefits of Campaign Finance in Kollman, Miller and Page, ed. Computational Political Economy, MIT Press.  2003.

o   Standoff in the House: Democrats Come up Short in the Trenches with Keiko Ono in Stephen Wayne and Clyde Wilcox, edThe Election of the Century. 2001.

o   Going After the Ins: How Two Beatable Senate Incumbents Met Challenger Threats with Different Outcomes. Campaigns and Elections 20, 5 (June 1999): 46 - 53. (Reprinted with additional material in Campaigns and Elections:  Contemporary Case Studies.)

o   Contemporary American Elections:  An Overview. With Ronald Faucheux, Paul Herrnson and Clyde Wilcox.  In Campaigns and Elections: Contemporary Case Studies, 1999:  1-28.

o   Book Review: Laura D’Andrea Tyson. Who’s Bashing  Whom?  Trade Conflict in High Technology Industries. Stanford Journal of International Affairs 2:2 (Summer 1993): 185 - 188.

 

 

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